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Tuesday, January 20, 2015

Update For Tuesday Jan 20, 2015

Just before the three day break, the specialists had the opportunity of getting rid of many short sellers. That is why we had a sharp rally on Friday on the shoulders of a short term rally in oil. This may continue  today but it will be followed by more decline. Financials, energy stocks and Natural gas stocks  and Russell 2000 will decline the most. Travel related stocks will also go down with more and more chaos around the world.

Swiss Central Bank's   30% upward movement of Francs relative to Euro & other Currencies is causing havoc in foreign exchange markets. Many of the foreign exchange brokers (See FXCM) will go out of business and other trading firms will see heavy losses in their foreign exchange departments.

The decline will start soon latest by tomorrow and market will make new lows soon below December lows and then below October lows. Basically all of the gains of November and December  have been wiped out in the first few days of January. Much bigger declines are coming soon as the global economy is weakening Interest rates are going down to new lows because of world wide deflation in commodity prices.

Dollar is making new highs against most currencies and Euro is making new lows. That is why in terms of Euro, the German market made a new high but in terms of dollars DAX is not even close to 2007 highs. Euro zone  Central bankers  will probably start a new QE program,  each country in euro zone buying    its bonds  starting next Thursday.This will not have much  effect on growth in  Euro zone  countries. It will only weaken Euro further.Many countries in Euro zone are in depression with unemployment above 10%  and going much higher.

Chinese market dropped almost 8% after the Chinese authorities banned Chinese brokers from opening new margin accounts for the next 3 months. Tuesday the Chinese market went back up 2%

DJI   Decline will start again

SPY
XLE  Going lower again as we expect oil to go as low as $33 to $35 or even lower

ERX  Going lower

ERY  Going Higher
GLD  Going Higher  Central Banks  in USA & in Euro zone want Gold to go down . So  be cautious here
NUGT  Going Higher
UVXY  3X   volatility going down near term but going higher soon
SVXY  1X   inverse Volatility  going up near term but long term going lower

UGAZ    3x Natural Gas Bull going down sharply because of warm weather
DGAZ  3 X Natural Gas Bear  Going up sharply. We own DGAZ in our Natural Gas Motif
RSX    Russian market ETF Gave a short term Buy signal


RUSS  3 X Bear Russian Market

RUSL   3X Bull Gave a Buy signal short term.
FXI  Chinese Market ETF  Long term going much higher



YINN   Chinese 3 X Bull   Long Term we are Bullish on both Chinese and Indian Markets
YANG 3X bear  Chinese market   Long term going lower

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