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Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Update After Close of Market on March 26 Thursday

The markets finally rolled over in the last 3 days. TZA hd big gains inspite of DJI moving higher everyday. External news have only temporary effect on the markets.  Gold has been falling on its own even though it should go higher because of unrest due to Russia. It should start going up soon , otherwise  no chance of its going to new highs in the near term.

DJI
SPY   Should  go to new lows Below early Feb lows  with rallies in between
IWM hasbeen behaving very nicely. When DJI goes up it does not follow iti. Today it fell down quite a bit
TZA As IWM goes down, TZA goes up 3 times as much. It has been going up nicely. It should go up to early Feb highs
GLD 
 GDX  Moving Down without any rest
NUGT
Falling 3 times faster than GDX
DUST Gave a buy signal 7 Business days ago.
 We are taking a vacation for the next 3 weeks ot so. Our next blog will be published on April 16, 2014. Good luck to all of you in the mean time.



Monday, March 24, 2014

Update for March 24 , 2014 6 AM

As predicted, DJI  went back to recent highs before starting a decline on Friday. SPX made a new high before starting a decline on Friday. The last candlestick on candlestick charts  is bearish. Volume was high on Friday because of Option expiring .

The Russell 2000 (IWM) is trading for 49x earnings  compared with a multiple of 39x at the height of the Internet bubble. The S&P 500 P/E ratio of 17.2x is  also high. Earnings on Russell 2000 are also going down. This is the right time to become bearish on IWM  and corresponding ETFs. Thus we recommend purchase of TZA ( 3X bearish Russell 2000) to get the biggest bang and same can be aid about, SQQQ which moved nicely higher on Friday. 

Gold continues to move lower in 5h step down of he thefirst leg down. If Gold stays above $1300, a rally can be expected soon. This may not go above recent highs. After the rally has been completed, we will have to
 take short positions as we could easily go down below recent lows of $1180 in the final  5th leg down
DJI
SPY

QQQ Sell Signal  7 days ago and confirmed on Friday
SQQQ  Buy signal already given on heavy volume

IWM  Ready to give SELL signal

TZA  Ready to go up. You can buy in the money calls (14) for June or longer months for the biggest bang

GLD  continues to go lower

GDX Gold Miners Still going Lower  Take profits in short positions
NUGT  Going Lower
DUST Take profits Now 

SLV ; rallies will not be very strong

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Markets Ready To Accelerate Lower ?

There was a broad decline in most indices and decline will accelerate as the third leg down picks up speed. It can also go back to recent highs.The decline also resumed in Asian and European markets. Even Vix is confirming the start of the BIG Decline. (Is the Vix Calling a top?---

http://seekingalpha.com/article/2099273-is-the-vix-calling-a-top?source=feed  )  Gold has been going down sharply as predicted in last two blogs.

DJI  gaave an initial SELL signal 5 days ago
SPY going lower
Nasdaq
QQQ
SQQQ Triple Bear for QQQ
IWM Giving Sell signal
TZA
GLD  ( One Year Chart) Gave a  SELL signal

GLD 3 Month
GDX Gold Miners Gave a SELL signal
NUGT 3 X Bull on Gold Miners Gave a SELL signal
DUST 3 X Bear on Gold  Miners
Big  Rally and BUY signal given
SLV Giving SELL signal

DAX German Market Going Lower. Gave a SELL signal 16 trading Days Ago

FTSE  British Market Going Lower/ Gave a SELL signal 14 trading Days Ago

CAC  French Market

NIkkei Gave a SELL signal 7 trading Days Ago
SHANGHAI Gave a SELL signal 20 Days Ago

Hongkong

India Sensex  No Sell signal Yet Will happen Soon

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Update for Tuesday March 18, 2014

Yesterday was the 4th step up of the First leg down. The 4th step  may be followed by 5th step down before we have a meaningful rally. The 5th step may have been completed on Friday. Then the rally will continue to previous highs.
 Gold completed the 3rd step  up of the 5th leg of the rally which started around $1181. The 4th step down is large and whether it will be followed by Step 5 up cannot be determined at this time.

DJI continuing the rally which started yesterday

SPY
QQQ
SQQQ Short 3 X QQQ
TQQQ Long 3X QQQ

IWM
TNA


TZA


GLD gold went down sharply After making a new high.
 NUGT Gold Miners 3 X Bull  Going Lower
DUST Gold Miners 3X Bear Going Higher
GDX Details on 60 Day Chart

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