n
Goto http://www.CMPForYou.com;

Friday, June 28, 2013

Time to buy Gold for short Term Trading & Long Term Accumulation

Here is what one of the major  traders has to say about Gold



The largest four commercials are net long 26,000 gold contracts, and net short 22,700 silver contracts. In the case of silver, the next four largest traders are actually long. In both cases their risk exposure has not been so low at least since 2006. The message is clear: if the largest bullion banks have de-risked their trading books, logically they must expect prices to increase. And given they have fooled the hedge fund community into taking the shorts, the price move, when it comes, should be explosive as hedge funds wake up and rush to close.
http://www.goldmoney.com/gold-research/alasdair-macleod/banks-taking-the-long-side-of-the-trade.html
 As for as the markets are concerned , the market may have trned back from 10 week moving averages as you can see.
SPX
Nasdaq



The above chart clearly shows the losses due to higher interest rates in the last month.The Federal Reserve is helpless in controlling the interest rates

Thursday, June 27, 2013

After Current Short Term Rally, a Bigger Decline Expected

We have had 3 day rally since the lows  established on June 24, 2013 based upon good data. The rally has gone further than we expected but it will end soon followed by fresh new lows. So some patience is required. Seasonal factors are favoring further upward movement in stock prices.
Interest rates are declining from highs established earlier this week.
Gold is reaching levels where most of the people are negative about Gold. Soon Gold may reach a point where it is a Buy short term.


Russell 2000

Nasdaq

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Gold & Silver Hit 3 Year Lows- Markets will Continue Lower Soon

Gold & Silver are in a third leg down and interest rates are in 3rd leg up.The down  move in Gold is not over yet. In spite of Federal Reserve buying $85 Biilion dollars worth bonds, the interest rates are going up as people around the world are selling hundreds of billions  of  dollars worth of bonds. After early morning rally, the market should start their downward march latest by tomorrow.

We have taken the following  interview from a well known technician Roger Wiegand


Roger Wiegand Predicts a Brand New World for Gold



Tuesday June 25, 2013 10:38

Source: Peter Byrne of The Gold Report  (6/24/13)

RW: Gold is taking a pounding since the big bullion banks have full control and they have to cover their radical short positions taken at the behest of the FOMC and U.S. Treasury to preserve the fiat markets. Briefly, they kept the gold market under control to prevent a runaway for the FOMC and are now using TARP bank capital and derivative dollars to drive gold to the basement. Next, they are accumulating all the gold bullion they can to preserve their wealth in the forthcoming legendary crash. In addition, they get to buy it on the cheap as the dumb money is in full exit in fear.
Also, China, South Korea and Japan have problems and each central bank is dealing American bonds. Recently, China sold American paper through its own markets in order to offload Treasury bonds for currency. All kinds of problems are looming in China; some experts claim that China's export trade numbers are only half of what was actually reported. South Korea is clearly weakening, and Japan is experiencing an emergency, causing it to stimulate at twice Mr. Bernanke's rate. That is simply unsustainable. Japan is the Achilles heel of the whole financial system. If the yen runs away, it's a disaster.
What does that mean for gold? Starting in August, the price will likely rise until the end of September. Then harsh political and economic factors will create serious problems in the global markets: I'm calling for a 50% correction in the U.S. stock markets in Q4/13.
TGR: In your June 6 newsletter, you said that we are on the verge of a brand new world.
RW: The brand new world is imminent because the lessons of 2008 were not learned. The banks are doing the same bad things they were doing before the crash, only worse. The derivative markets are larger now than they were back then. A huge number of student loans might well be written off. And the real estate market is doing a rerun. Incredible! People with foreclosures who may not be qualified for a new mortgage are receiving Federal Housing Authority-insured loans in a desperate effort to try to prop up the home loan industry, which is a major sector of the U.S. economy.
We are in a depression, not a recession. The real numbers for unemployment in the U.S. are 25%. They were 25% in the 1930s. In Spain, 54% of the workers under age 25 are unemployed. The down-the-hill slide is global and in slow motion. People still believe a lot of media nonsense, but this market simply has not corrected. The ultimate jobs program will be a new war.
TGR: Where do you think a war will break out, Roger?
RW: Iraq is cranking up for another round. War is on the agenda in Turkey. Libya has bad problems, not to mention the horror that is Syria. China is beating a war drum, but that's just talk. North Korea is not capable of going to war. But more wars over energy resources will continue to break out in the Middle East.
War creates jobs. World War II ended the Depression of the 1930s. I don't think there will be a nuclear war, but three or four conventional wars can go on simultaneously, hire a lot of people, square away the economy and get things righted in the bond market."


How many times  does the federal Government manipulate the data? They announced today that GDP went up only 1.8% instead of 2.4% as given out earlier. How can you be wrong by 25%? It clearly shows that they wanted the stock market to go up and so they gave a preliminary estimate of 2.4%. 



So as far as  the markets are concerned, we are going lower no matter what the talking heads tell you on CNBC.

DJI

SPX
RUT  Russell 2000


NASDAQ



Tuesday, June 25, 2013

The Decline is Not Over- Sharp Rallies should be Shorted

Look what is happening to the bond market
http://www.cnbc.com/id/100840444

The Federal Reserve is panicking already. Four members of the Federal Reserve have been going around the country trying to jawbone the markets. This will only  result in small rallies like what happened yesterday. This cannot stop real losses of investors in all the mutual funds and all the ETFs  and options. The margin calls are everywhere and yet nobody is talking about it. Every time there is a rally, the public is selling but it has not reached panic levels. Till that happens, the decline will continue.
 Look at today's calender: ( Courtesy of Optionsxpress)







DateReleaseForActualBriefing.comConsensusPrior
06/25/13 8:30 AMDurable OrdersMay4.5%3.0%3.5%
06/25/13 8:30 AMDurable Goods -ex transportationMay-0.6%-0.5%1.5%
06/25/13 9:00 AMCase-Shiller 20-city IndexApr10.5%10.5%10.9%
06/25/13 9:00 AMFHFA Housing Price IndexAprNANA1.3%
06/25/13 10:00 AMConsumer ConfidenceJun72.075.076.2
06/25/13 10:00 AMNew Home SalesMay470K460K454K


To create rallies based upon looking at the rear view mirror will result in a bigger crash later on. 

All the gains  this year in European markets and developing  country markets have been wiped out. This should happen before a decent rally starts here.
DJI

Russell 2000

SPX

NASDAQ

The markets can go up to yesterday's highs and may be slightly above to fill the gaps created yesterday.

Monday, June 24, 2013

Stocks Going Off The Cliff

The stock markets are going off the cliff and the Federal Reserve has lost control. Why will there be such a huge increase in 10 year rates from  1.4% to 2.54% in less than 4 weeks if they are in control.
Shangai market had  the largest one day decline ever.  It made a new low last night.If you got out of  TZA, get back in by 6:45 AM Pacific time . As the market goes down by 10%, TZA will go up by 30%. 

We have been warning about this decline  since May 22, 2013. Margin calls will hit all markets this week and nobody will be able to save the investors if they are long. The folly of the Federal Reserve will be apparent to everybody. Printing of trillions of dollars around the world does not bring  true prosperity and more jobs. Here are some charts which clearly show the cliff like pattern in all charts around the world.

DJI
 RUT  Russell 2000
 TZA
 SPX
 Nasdaq

Friday, June 21, 2013

Decline Will Continue With Rallies in Between

All the markets went below the 50 day moving averages. They are now headed towards 200 moving averages.
The biggest losses were in bonds of all kinds. See what  http://www.dailypfennig.com had to say

And ore from today's daily Pfenning:
Look at yesterday's charts:


The U.S. Treasury 10-year yield  is 2.45% this morning, folks. Do you know how much in losses that is in one day? That’s HUGE! Why on bonds more than anything else, Chuck? Well, the loss in the 10-year for one day was $2.30 a bond. Remember, bonds are bought in much larger chunks than other assets. The minimum on a Treasury is $10,000 (in most places) YIKES! And then large institutions, hold bonds by the tens of millions. Can you say “that hurts”? But stocks, currencies and metals didn’t exactly play nice… they hurt too! There was nowhere for an investor to go. So thanks Big Ben. You started this mess, you pumped the bubble full of air, and now you decide to pull a Big Al Greenspan. For all intents and purposes you jumped the shark tank, and repeated Big Al’s famous line about the stock markets’ “irrational exuberance.” Remember everyone going ballistic when Big Al made that comment back in 1996? What did the stock market do once it got over his statement and realized that he wasn’t going to do anything about stopping the “irrational exuberance?” That’s right… it kicked tail and took names later for the next 4 years! - See more at: http://www.dailypfennig.com/2013/06/20/throwing-a-cat-among-the-pigeons/#sthash.XC07qORN.dpuf
The above is Russell 2000. TZA goes up 30% if RUT goes down 10%.
Recently TZA has gone up 12% while RUT went down 4 %. See below recent chart of TZA for last 60 Days



To Save on Electric bills  , Get solar panels. To get more info , go to

http://share.solarcity.com/makemoney
The U.S. Treasury 10-year yield  is 2.45% this morning, folks. Do you know how much in losses that is in one day? That’s HUGE! Why on bonds more than anything else, Chuck? Well, the loss in the 10-year for one day was $2.30 a bond. Remember, bonds are bought in much larger chunks than other assets. The minimum on a Treasury is $10,000 (in most places) YIKES! And then large institutions, hold bonds by the tens of millions. Can you say “that hurts”? But stocks, currencies and metals didn’t exactly play nice… they hurt too! There was nowhere for an investor to go. So thanks Big Ben. You started this mess, you pumped the bubble full of air, and now you decide to pull a Big Al Greenspan. For all intents and purposes you jumped the shark tank, and repeated Big Al’s famous line about the stock markets’ “irrational exuberance.” Remember everyone going ballistic when Big Al made that comment back in 1996? What did the stock market do once it got over his statement and realized that he wasn’t going to do anything about stopping the “irrational exuberance?” That’s right… it kicked tail and took names later for the next 4 years! - See more at: http://www.dailypfennig.com/2013/06/20/throwing-a-cat-among-the-pigeons/#sthash.XC07qORN.dpufhttp://share.solarcity.com/makemoney

Thursday, June 20, 2013

Big Decline in All Markets Just Ahead

In spite of jaw boning by the Federal Reserve in USA and waste of public funds by Central banks around the world by printing more and more Dollars, Yens, Euros,and Brazilian Reals and Indian Rupees the markets started the third leg down yesterday.
We had the First leg down from May 22 to June 6 followed by Second leg up from June 6 to June 19. Those who have read our book know that the the 3rd leg down is usually  longer lasting and more  ferocious than the first leg down.

Currencies around the world are falling against the dollar.

MAJOR CURRENCY PAIRS

PriceChange%Change
EUR/USD1.3215 -0.0079-0.59%
USD/JPY97.61 1.151.19%
GBP/USD1.5475 -0.0009-0.06%
USD/CAD1.0333 0.00610.59%
USD/CHF0.9312 0.00320.34%
AUD/USD0.9231 -0.0061-0.66%
EUR/CHF1.2307 -0.0031-0.25%
EUR/GBP0.8539 -0.0044-0.51%
EUR/JPY128.99 0.750.58%
AUD/JPY90.08 0.410.46%

Stocks around the world as of 5:30 AM  Pacific time on June 20, 2013





6211.23
 
-137.59
-2.17%
7997.98
 
-199.10
-2.43%
13014.58
 
-230.64
-1.74%
20382.87
 
-604.02
-2.88%

MAJOR EUROPE INDEXES

Price

Change
%Change
345.04
 
-6.04
-1.72%
3743.88
 
-95.46
-2.49%
7919.70
 
-178.60
-2.21%
15743.24
 
-302.28
-1.88%
1148.28
 
-26.56
-2.26%
286.09
 
-6.27
-2.14%
MAJOR ASIA-PACIFIC INDEXES

Price

Change
%Change
4758.40
 
-103.00
-2.12%
2084.02
 
-59.43
-2.77%
1850.49
 
-37.82
-2.00%
3133.26
 
-80.53
-2.51%
1402.19
 
-35.51
-2.47%
6529.41
 
-270.52
-3.98%


Look at Gold and Silver making new lows 

METAL FUTURES

Price Change %Change Volume
GOLD 1302.00   -72.00 -5.24% 185003
SILVER 19.99   -1.633 -7.55% 42119
COPPER 3.086   -0.055 -1.75% 46070
PLATINUM 1399.10   -24.80 -1.74% 915

Soon the major averages will go below 50 day moving averages and then all the jokers  managing big mutual funds will  all try to get out at the same time. We have been warning about the decline since May 22
IWM based on RUssell 2000




Save 50% to 70% on your Electric Bills
We usually do not talk about the environment  but this is the time to use solar panels on the roofs of your homes and offices to generate electricity. You get federal  and state tax breaks( this may expire soon) and savings beyond your expectations.

If you lease the equipment over 20 years, your cost is zero and installation is FREE. They will maintain the panels for the next 20 years. How can you lose?

The best company in this area is SOLAR CITY which is a public company and is financially very sound. Please click  the link below to get info.

http://share.solarcity.com/makemoney



Powered by Blogger.