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Thursday, October 30, 2014

End of QE and Start of a BIGGER Decline Soon

Oct 30, 2014  Thursday  Premarket

We have been pointing out that the rally from lows on Oct 15 was engineered by Federal Reserve with their banking cohorts. Otherwise, how do you explain the no down tick rallies on Monday, Wednesday and Thursday last week and again on Tuesday this week. We have seen more up gaps  at the opening in two weeks in QQQ, SPY and IWM than we have ever seen in a 6 month period.

Japan & Eurozone  are devaluing their currencies  so that they can compete against USA. Look at 10 Year interest rates ( Courtesy of CNBC)



 The start  of decline has already begun. Look at Twitter with earnings of less than $.04 per share and price of $55( now only $42 and going lower). What about IBM? They announced another $5 billion worth of buy back of their shares. Somebody should tell them that financial engineering will not save them anymore. Remember that  Federal Reserve will not be able to save the stock markets down moves any more. Just like in 2008. If they could, they would have stopped the decline in 2008. Once the sentiment becomes bearish, the easiest path is on the way down. However , DJI , SPY and QQQ can go to September Highs before going down again.

Gold and Silver are ready to go down and so will energy stocks. Gold will go below 1180 and as low as $1100

It may take the market less time to go down than it took for it to go higher in the last rally. We recommend TZA, SQQQ , SPXS, DUST, GLDS

DJI Increase in DJI this morning is due to up move in VISA which contributed 100 points to the DJI Index
SPY
QQQ
The following charts were after the close on Thursday

SQQQ
GLD
DUST 3X Bear Gold Mining Stocks   Going  Up Sharply
DGAZ



Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Waiting For The Federal Reserve

Pre Market Oct 28  Tuesday
The markets will wait for Fed's announcement to end QE. This gives Yellen to boost the stock market one last time before the November Elections.
Here are two more examples of weak foundations for the market.


Twitter
Facebok  On 28Th Oct



It is easy to manipulate DJI ( 30 stocks) and QQQ (100 stocks) to move above yesterday's highs.
After the rally  today and tomorrow we expect a bigger decline than we have had in the month of September and  first half of October. Energy stocks went down sharply yesterday and they will go down more after this two day rally is over.

If you look at New York Stock Exchange Composite Index , the recent rally has been quite tame and a bigger decline lies ahead after the next two days.
NYA  Has gone up less than 61.8% of the total decline. A more severe decline lies just ahead after two day rally.


DJI
SPY
QQQ  Going Back to September Highs


CURE Health related 3X ETF  rose the most  % wise in the current rally
IWM
TNA
TZA  Will rally after two days
XLE  Has started the decline



ERX  3X energy Bull  Going down sharply after 2 day rally

ERY
TLT  Was manipulated a week ago
DGAZ  3 X bear has been going up nicely
GDX Ready to give Sell signal
NUGT  Ready to give SELL signal
DUST  Ready to give BUY signal


Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Some Indices Giving Buy Signals But Intermediate trend Down

QQQ, SPX and Nasdaq and Dow Jones Transportation all giving Buy Signal but Intermediate trend Still down.  Dollar strength is affecting commodities short term. Intervention by Plunge Protection Team  of the Federal Reserve in last two Days is visible. Same true about Japanese and Euro Central Banks. Federal Reserve will end its Dollar Printing by  the end of this month.
Even though market went up , the volume has been going down. Rally is not confirmed and markets  can  move down soon making new lows below Oct 15 lows.
In the 4th leg up  SPY moved up 78% of the 3rd leg decline

DJI  NO Buy Signal

SPY  Short term Buy but Intermediate Trend still Down

Last 25 Day Wave Structure  for SPY  Updated on Oct 23 Premarket




QQQ

IWM  Short term Buy
TNA
TZA SELL signal


TLT  No Sell Signal
TMV  No Buy Signal
TMF  Remains Bullish
DGAZ  Still going  Higher  No Sell signal



XLE  Gave a Buy Signal


ERX  Giving a Buy Signal
ERY
NUGT  No SEll Signal

Monday, October 20, 2014

No Buy Signal Yet - Decline to Continue

Oct 20, 2014 Monday

Finally IBM is learning that financial  engineering does not make a stock grow. Markets after a small rally are moving lower and will make a new low soon.
We have started a new motif for energy  based upon XLE  ETF. You can invest in all motifs like a mutual fund even IRA funds and click on the MotifInvesting button on the right side and you will get $100 back from them. We are not affiliated with Motifinvesting.

DJI
SPY

QQQ
SPXU  Going to New Highs soon

SPXL

GLD
GDX
NUGT
XLE   Energy ETF

The top holdings of XLE

ERX Bull  Going Lower

ERY  Energy Bear Going Higher

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