Japan's debt to GDP has gone upto 230%
of the economy compared to
only 170% in 2008.
In the U.S., the debt jumped by $7
trillion since end of 2007. Our total debt hit a record $49 trillion (350% of
GDP) at the beginning of
2008.Today total U.S. debt
is more than $55 trillion. We can carry this debt only because our rates are
near zero.
Now that interest rates have started rising, decline in stock and bond markets around the world has
started. ( 30 year Mortgage rates
have gone above 4% compared to less than 3.5% only a month ago.) No amount of speeches by Federal
Reserve members is going to reverse this trend.
Same is happening in Japan. Their 10-year note jumped
from 0.6 to near 1% in a few days. Nikkei is now down 19% from its peak in
early May. The illusion of growth created by Central Banks around the world
will come to an end. A currency war among nations has already started.
Long positions should be opened only in TZA as IWM and RUT continue to go down
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