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Thursday, June 18, 2015

Words, words , words. That is all we are getting  about what is happening in Greece. Greece should default because they owe so much money , they can never pay it back.
 What about Federal Reserve? Again words , more words   and growth forecasts are lowered again.
 We will have a 0.25 increase in rates in Sept , 2015 but they will not raise interest rates much in the next 5 years. There are trillions of dollars floating around and millions of people around the world who are willing to work at one third the cost of American labor.
Why not increase the debt by one or two trillion dollars and start a huge infrastructure  program and build highways, bridges, airports, fast bullet trains  etc etc  to  Chinese and Singapore standards. That is the only way the middle class will gain money and jobs. Otherwise , start a new company  in bio, healthcare or any of the new technologies and get rich beyond your expectations. You will get as much money as you want for your new venture. The high technologies will only destroy more jobs and no matter what we do , it cannot be stopped.
In the mean time interest rates will not go up for the next 5 years because we and Eurozone and Japan and China  cannot afford higher rates .
As predicted we had a nice rally in the last 3 days. Today market will go up to the highs set up yesterday or to recent highs and then more decline will start. Transportation stocks  and Utilities are already making new lows. So the rest of the market will follow suit.
Gold an Silver are giving a BUY signal on a short term basis. Energy stocks will continue to go lower
Last 3 days of SPY
 Last 5 days of DIA
SPY
DJI
IWM
TNA
$DJT
ERX
USO
GLD
SLV
NUGT
DUST
UVXY
DGAZ


Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Whether Greece stays or leaves the Eurozone  has not major effect on US markets. Of course the insiders will find any lame excuse to take the market up and down. The European markets can be affected in a major way if  Greece leaves but it will be temporary.
The real problem is not Greece. It is the unending printing of money by Eurozone, USA, Japan and China. So there is no real growth in Eurozone, USA, or Japan and this printing will come to an end.
 There is a possibility that we may have a rally up after initial decline today . So be careful here. See the last chart of SPY












Friday, June 12, 2015

The counter trend rally that started on Tuesday  ended yesterday  and we are ready to go to new lows soon eventually going below Oct lows.
Dow Jones, Spy, DJT are all headed lower now.
Dollar should make  a new high in the 5th and final leg up.

Gold and Silver are heading lower and so will oil and energy related stocks.











Wednesday, June 10, 2015

DJI  made a new low for the year yesterday and SPY was also near the lows. DJ transportation and DJ utilities are also near the lows. there has been an abc rally since yesterday. We had a up and b down completed already yesterday and we will have c up which is stronger than the a up.
 After this consolidation we will continue our decline.
Gold and Silver also moving up slightly yesterday and today but till they go above the 15 day moving averages, there is no BUy signal.
We have had a neutral position on natural gas.









Monday, June 8, 2015

As predicted , the market has been going down and DJI , SPX  are below 50 day moving averages.

We will eventually go to Oct lows before any steady rally starts. Right now the market wants to go lower with rallies in between

Gold and silver are not acting well and  Gold should go to$1131  with rallies in between.

As interest  rates  rise, utilities became the biggest loser last week. Energy stocks should continue to go lower.
SPY
DJI
IWM
TNA
GLD
GDX
NUGT
DUST
$DJT
USO
ERX

UVXY
SLV

USLV
TLT



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