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Monday, April 13, 2015

We have had a counter trend rally for the last 11 trading days and  the a up, b down and c up  may be almost  over or nearly so  last Friday . The advisers and Mutual funds are so bullish , it is reaching  early 2000 levels and you know what happened then.   Dow Jones Transportation is sitting near lows.
Reduction in volume everyday for the last 3 days tells us that this rally is on its last legs. VIX is also near lows and UVXY is at the lowest level ever which shows the markets may be starting a big decline soon.
Gold is still consolidating. As we had predicted Natural Gas has been making new lows. At this point we should take profits. We have had a gain of 185% in last 6 months.

It is height of lunacy when German 10 year bonds are giving negative interest rates today. That is why Euro is trading near lows again. This is nothing but manipulation by Euro zone to beat US competition
in International Markets. We will soon see the results in bad earnings in First Quarter




SPY

 DJI
 DJ T


IWM

 TNA
 GLD
 GDX
 NUGT
 SLV
 USLV
 XLE
 ERX
 ERY
 DGAZ
 UVXY

Thursday, April 9, 2015

The market is completing a-b-c counter trend rally which started  10 days ago. When this rally is over , we will have biggest decline in the last few years. It should take averages to new lows.

The bullish sentiment is at  an extreme and cash with mutual funds is at record lows seen near the highs.
Insiders are distributing shares to retail investors near the highs.
Gold and Silver are consolidating  before they go up sharply in 3rd step up.

Oil had a sharp decline yesterday nd wil continue to go lower below $40. First Quarter earnings will be poor for most stocks.


Spy



 DJI
 IWM
 TNA
 XLE
 ERX
 DGAZ
 UVXY
 GLD
 SLV Divergence between Gold & Silver should resolve on the upside
 NUGT
 USLV

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

There has been a counter trend rally in the last two days. This rally will end soon as the Dow Jones Transportation made a 6 month low yesterday. Thus it is split market and thus is a weak market and downtrend should resume soon. Gold and Silver have been going up nicely and they should make new highs above January highs.
Oil hs been going up on Geo Political concerns . Volatility has been going down and will go up only when market starts going down again.
Natural gas should make new lows soon


DJI

 $DJT
 NYA
 IWM Can go to recent highs
 TNA  Going to Recent Highs
 XLE
 ERX
 GLD Going Higher
 GDX  Going Higher
 NUGT  Going Higher
 SLV  going Higher
 USLV Going Higher
 DGAZ
 UVXY  Going lower

Thursday, April 2, 2015


The market decline started more than a week ago and the decline will continue with minor rallies in between. Transportation stocks are near lows in 3 months.
Gold and silver have started going up and will continue their rally till they reach above Jan Highs.

Natural gas continues to go lower. DGAZ will make new highs above recent highs but it may be ok to take profits on any rally now

Oil stocks will continue to go lower.

DGAZ
 DJI
 DJT
 ERX
 GDX  Going Higher
 IWM  going lower
 NUGT  Going Higher
 SPY
 TNA
 UVXY
 XLE  Going Lower











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